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Different Trading Methods Learned with a Stock Technical Analysis Course

By Options Trading Authority On February 8, 2010 Under Uncategorized
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Never before has something been seen like all these various methods that are appearing for use in price forecasting for commodities. There are literally hundreds of techniques and approaches . Here we’ll only briefly look at a few .

Some are conservative and this author will place an asterisk beside the ones which he personally uses . In this chapter alone there are 36 mentioned ways of price forecasting . This doesn’t even include all the wonderful glorious little tidbits that can be provided through a P&L charting technical analysis course.

( I’m quite thrilled with P&L charting, for it enables this trader to quantify price action on a daily and intra-day basis . There is no other system I know of where the activity of the day is more important than congestion or trend in which prices are trading . With P&L charting every day’s activity shows congestion or trend evolution , sometimes within one day . )

However , this author is most irritated by those who believe that their weighted moving averages, volume oscillator, resistance index, balance volume, and who knows what all else , – cash and basis, – are the one system that proves effective. And, the one they happen to use is the only one that will ever be effective and they don’t have a use for volume, open interest, seasonals, fundamentals, contrarian opinion, wave theories, point and figure, moving averages, oscillators, chart patterns, momentum indices, whatever , and are blindfolded to the evolution of anyone else’s approach . ( Okay . I was able to get that out.)

Many times these traders do not even use their own systems and at least to me it seems , to always be fighting the market . If you assume the trader has gone through a technical analysis course and has a forecasting method plan that puts together various methods and combines them in a way which he can continually trade profits from the market , then this trader is worth listening to . In the section below that is on planning, the author will show his approaches to the market place and you will be surprised how flexible he is .

You’ll find 3 basic methods used to help analyze commodity price behavior on the market.

1. fundamental
2. mechanical
3. technical

FUNDAMENTAL

Many times the market goes in the opposite direction of the fundamentals due to factors like technical ones. The fundamental trader is interested in long range price movements and must be prepared to wait it out . Fundamentalists may deny it , but there are just too many external factors to be taken into account , like the response that occurs to influences that are fundamental, shown in fluctuations that occur each day. So for analysis, there is now reason to seek them out .

MECHANICAL

The mechanical methods only use price to decide on the action they should use and the action doesn’t require a trader’s decision . There are three mechanical methods .

1. chart
2. computer summaries
3. moving averages

Learning from a technical analysis course will teach you to follow the rules of trading faithfully and in most cases it’s based on a formula that is mathematical to give you the trading time that is right. The computer tells you what a mathematical formula thinks you should do . One of the great things about using the mechanical method is they can be back checked . Computer oriented methods are often biased towards trend analysis that is mathematical , using different trading systems, such as moving averages. Your computer can become a chart reader and it can formulate and test any and all decision rules .

TECHNICAL

In the last several decades , a vast amount of work has been done to erect a means of technical tools , – all with the aim of anticipating futures prices from trading statistics , i.e. O.I., price, and volume.

There are four broad areas of the technical approach .
1) patterns on price charts
2) methods of trend following
3) analysis of character of market
4) structural theories.
Various methods for charting are available. The following are the most popular :
a. daily high/low/close bar charts
b. point and figure method
c. the average that moves of the prices at closing

The lists of approaches taken to technical analysis can be cataloged by these approaches that are technical .
1) reading of tape or board
2) price charts being analyzed – which consists of
a. trends in prices
b. resistance and support
c. consolidation ( continuation and reversal )
d. prices and the patterns and formations
e. measurement rules
f. wave theory
3) open interest analysis and volume
4) other technical indicators which can include :
a. measures of relative performance
b. periodic price performance study
c. study of opinion and contrary opinion

Later there will be more discussion of this.

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